The sand mixing with snow shows how dry it is and how little snow we've received.
I've been snowed the last few days. Sunday, Grandma tripped in church and cracked her pelvis. Today, we heard from her Dr. no surgery was required but a lengthy stay in the hospital/rehab before she can live at home. At the same time, Liz caught the influenza bug and was down during the same time. So, I'm doing double duty somewhat for two right now.
Jan 19, a quick word about the weather.
Seems like the storm moving in is looking a little bit stronger. Forecasters are a little unsure how much snow will fall due to temps. That MIGHT mean more rain/drizzle on the south end. About the last 3 storm systems to move through Kansas have traveled right through the center of the state. To get good rains/snow for central Kansas, one needs the low center to travel east to west through northern Oklahoma. In the spring time, you can get isolated heavy rains here when the upper low is in Nebraska but the jackpot storm is the north Ok. storm. Models tonight show another storm traversing Kansas in a week so keep hoping for a more southern track. PS. A storm can be too far south also (northern Texas southern OK.) and miss us for precip. For now, with the current storm, people living close and north of highway 24 have the best chance for meaningful precip. although models show a dip in the precip through Concordia almost down to Salina. We'll see how this plays out.
Jan 25, big warmup.
The high temp today was just below 70 with a stout southerly wind. It was a Red Flag day but our area had no wildfires. The ice has just about melted on the ponds and the snow/rain we got on Monday has all evaporated. We took advantage of the warmness and worked my two pastures (around 90 pairs) of fall born pairs. We'll do Grandma's fall pairs Saturday. Extra time has been spent with Grandma as she developed a blood clot in her leg while starting rehab on her cracked pelvis. As for weather, after looking at several things in the week to 2 week future, It looks like a cool down is in store. The precip. looks to be in the normal to just above normal area for this time of the year. Seems to me as dry as it is, the preciup will struggle as it has the last several months. Sooner or later though, we will get bulls eyed by a storm that has the right strength, the right moisture load, the right path, and the right speed to hit the jackpot of precip we need so badly. This seems to happen on a storm that at first, doesn't look so good, "hiccups", then produces. If the pattern continues, then the precip door remains open and good moisture falls. Hope it happens soon.
Feb. 3, weather at a glance.
Lately the weather pattern has fallen into it's same old theme. A Hudson bay low pinwheeling around in Canada and a ridge off/along the west coast of the USA. These two highlighters give us strong northwest winds aloft which passes cold fronts through every 2 to 3 days and will put a cooling trend for Kansas and basically dry. This pattern is maintained by a base state La Nina with the MJO at strong levels. The MJO has to move to a more favorable place to change this but the dryness seems to persist well into Feb. On the farm, we will start calving heifers soon then our older cows around the first of March.
Feb. 12, warm for a few days.
I caught the stomach flu and now am just getting over it. Also I've been busy with Grandma as she transitions from rehab in Salina back to her home. In between, Jeremy and I have done some cattle moving. The weather has been cold and mostly dry---just a few places in the state has received more than 2" of snow. We got to around 50 degrees last Wed. then struggled to best 30 for a few days (lows in the low teens to single digits). The forecast is for increasing temps till Thursday when we go below normal a couple of days. The GFS model shows a large trough moving into the southwest US. This may portend a pattern change. Even now the ridge around the west coast has moved out into the Pacific. The Hudson bay low moves a little more east. Some forecasters are picking up on this but it is still 7-8 days out. Supporting this is the CPC 6-10 day outlook and the 8-14 day outlook. Both outlooks show cooler than average with precip. increasing to above normal at the 8-14 outlook. The MJO is still strong but decreasing in intensity. So---maybe by the end of the month Kansas could start getting beneficial precip. We shall see.
Feb. 16, a life changing event.
I haven't posted anything for a while since on this date we got a call from KU Med. with a liver transplant offer. The call came in at 6 am. and we had 5 minutes to deliberate whether to accept or not. The timing was right for me with farm work so we accepted, grabbed things and was on the road at 7. My meld score had been updated 5 days before and increased to a 20. Boom! We got the call. Time was critical and we drove into the Kansas City campus at 9:30, the fastest I've ever gone to KC. By 11 am. I was in surgery. 21 days after surgery, I'm at home (March 7). After being on the transplant list for better than a year (low meld score) I'm starting a new phase with my life. I've still got 3 to 4 weeks of recovery before getting back into the swing of things (Farming) and will take anti rejection drugs the rest of my life. (Though not as much as I'm taking now.) My almost miraculous recovery is due to the prayers of many as well as that I wasn't real sick going into surgery. Many liver transplant people cant even walk into the hospital pre transplant time. I'm so blessed. Please sign your donor card and give someone the chance at extended life. You can extend your legacy.
March 17, maybe rain?
A strong low pressure system is going to move through the area tomorrow (Sun.). The track of the storm is favorable for rain here in central Kansas. The two downfalls of this is that the storm environment will be moisture starved, and the storm itself is moving pretty fast. (not a sustained precip event. The good factors are the favorable track, and good wind shear/instability aloft. We should get some rain, but not inches of rain.
PS to the March 17 post.
We got around .3" out of this storm with a little radar return showing over us again. The surface low was 25 miles too far south. Just south of our area down to Rice county got a lot more rain. (Up to 4") Still, it's RAIN! I fertilized my wheat a few days ago so this rain will activate that. As for my health, my recent blood work is normal so the new liver is working. Today the home Dr. removed the last of my staples holding the surgery cuts. That area is sore but slowly getting better. Today, I pressed my weight lifting limits a little so will lay low and watch the weather channel this evening. The cattle were restless today with the rain and snow falling. This was what caused me to work harder than usual to feed them well. In a couple of days, we need to start moving some cattle around getting ready for spring. High forecasted temps. for the end of the week will be around 75.
March 22, a little bump in the road.
Yesterday and the night before I really felt bad, like I was getting the stomach flu. By yesterday afternoon I was better. With the recent transplant, one never knows what's going on but I radically switched diet after seeing my GP Dr. and the only blood test that's low---magnesium. Upon feeling bad, I cut the greens I'd been eating so I don't know if that was it or I caught a passing bug last Sunday in town. That's the curse of anti rejection drugs---low immunity when being around people. That's a balancing act I'll have to figure out. Otherwise my surgery cuts are healing slowly and it seems it will be another week~ before that heals up solid. On the farm, we're about 1/2 done spring calving. We are moving some initial groups of cows/calves around to get ready to go to summer pasture the end of next month. We got a lot of field work to do and I'll start on that in another week after the surgery cuts heal tighter. Love the rain we got last week and there are prospects for more off and on this next week. Hope so.
March 31, the state of Ag. in central Kansas.
We keep missing out on the rain chances. Showers all around---mainly east of us though. Thank God we got the rain a couple of weeks ago. I am some amazed how the wheat has responded to the rain we got. Although not bin buster stands, for the most part, the ground is covered with a fair stand. An inch of rain, then 70 temps for a week would do wonders for the wheat and pastures. Cattle have April-it is---the grass IS greener on the other side of the fence. With continued cool to cold temps the cattle want multiple bales of premium alfalfa and cubes or they smash the fence and go to any green they can find. I'm continually fixing fence. In-between-times we have gotten over lots of spring farm ground with the chizzle and disc. Well, April is here. Only 28 days of feeding cattle. I can start the countdown to freedom of feeding cattle day. What we need is rain and warm temps. Warmth really won't come until the end of next week at the earliest. I am ready for some global warming. As for my transplant recovery. Each day gets me a little bit better. The outside incision is healed but inside underneath still hurts. Even with this, the blood tests show the new liver working fine. It's really weird to have all my liver function numbers in normal range for the first time since the 1980s! Again, I'm so blessed.
April 5, what's going on, on the farm, a pictorial.
While feeding cattle, I brought the camera along to catch images of Ag.
Due to the extreme cold weather for late march/early April, we've fed more hay than usual. This pic. shows one of the dwindling hay piles.
We are still getting spring born calves. This picture is of a pair where the calf was born yesterday.
A cow's view of Heaven and Hell. Hell is the brown grass pasture they reside in. Heaven is the greened up wheat field adjacent. Only 5 strands of barbed wire separates Heaven from Hell. Hummm.
Picture of a spring fed pond. Still pretty full yet. Run off water ponds are a lot lower showing the effects from the drought.
Cows feeding on a bale I just rolled out for them. Again, due to cold weather lately we are feeding more hay than usual.
Picture of greening brome grass in the road ditch. Cows and calves reach through the fence to grab a mouth full. A 400# calf or a 1200# cow is more than a match for a strand or two of barbed wire. Through the fence they go.
Another Heaven and Hell picture. Only this time the green side is alfalfa.
Picture of my woodpile. The cold weather means extra wood must be added constantly to heat the house. Todays high temp was 74. Tomorrows high forecasted at 38. Tomorrow night's low is forecasted at 14!
April 7, cold, snow/sleet.
It snowed and sleeted last night. About 1/2" on the ground this morning. 7 am. temp this morning was 15. Thank goodness our winter wheat is behind growth so normally we would loose our wheat crop at this time of the year but not this time. We get a little precip progged in the forecast for the next couple of days with a continued warm up. Big storm moves through next Friday according to the model but we get dry-slotted with no precip. Hope this storm's path changes in the next several days as models are not written in stone this far out (week). We are getting into a time where we process cattle for summer pasture. Work load picks up. That's tough as I keep over doing, working on the farm. I've strained my surgery incisions inside and hurt a lot. I've tried to lay low for the last few days so the surgery area can heal and solidify. It's hard to not work when one feels so good. My new liver is working fine according to the weekly tests.
April 14, snowing and blowing.
After several days of 60-80 temps., I woke up to snow on the farm. We moved up working a pasture of cattle to yesterday to miss this storm. Pictures as I fed cattle below.
As I did morning chores, I snapped a pic of our tulips sticking out of the snow.
Quizno is laying on the driveway with snow collected on one side of his body from the horizontal falling snow.
I pull out on the road to the pasture to feed cattle and find visibility to 3/4 mile due to falling snow and some haze. After having warm days before, the ground is warm enough to melt snow on the bare ground. Grassy areas accumulated snow easier.
Tried to feed hay to the cattle in protected areas from the wind. The temp. is around 28, and wind around 30.
I rolled out wheat straw bales for the baby calves to lay on. Here, they piled on the dry straw right after I rolled it out.
Snow about covers the vegetative parts of the crops but little needed moisture is occurring. This alfalfa field needs moisture in large quanities.
The snow has covered the meager areas of green pasture grass. More hay needed.
The wild sand plums are beginning to flower. It's too cold. No wild plum jelly next summer.
Drone picture of us working cattle yesterday at the pasture pens. Much better day yesterday weather wise.
April 15, still cold.
Tonight's low temp is supposed to get down to record levels. Don't know how much damage the wheat crop has sustained. No grass in the pastures either due to drought and cold. Picture below shows a telling tale. The trees have not begun to leaf out yet and it's the middle of April. Whow!
April 21, a miss.
The much bally-hoed chance for meaningful rain for us failed to materialize. The models started out a week ago, (all together) bulls eyeing central Kansas with up to 2" of rain. Then the models 4 days ago shifted the track to the south which was not good. Two days ago the storm track shifted back north a bit, but not enough. The track was 35 miles too far south with the 1" total. We got around .20". So the drought continues to almost the catastrophic range. There is little greening in the pastures for cattle to eat and wild fire danger continues any time the wind blows. The wheat looks steam-rolled by several record freezing events with little moisture left. I haven't really seen conditions like this at this time before---we're in uncharted waters.