Welcome to my agriculture page. I will cover my farming operation and how weather affects it. I will also comment special events that occur in our lives that may not be associated with my farming operation. Check it out any time.
January 1, HAPPY NEW YEAR!
The cold air mass continues. Last night we got down to -6, and that was without any snow cover! Todays high was around 15. Slowly moderating temps are due to gradually boost temps above freezing towards the weekend. There is some chance for snow around Sunday/Sunday night. The current weather pattern is back to the old PNA pattern again. (Northwest upper flow and not as cold as last week---trough in the eastern US. Ridge over the western US. coast to inter-mountain west, trough off the west coast) The MJO has enhanced and moved into the Indian ocean. This will change our US. pattern in a week to 10/14 days. (The first inkling would be the Sunday low pressure trough to move through the plains.) We'll see what type of pattern we get from this MJO change but it lines up with some forecasters long range thinking. Models reaching into the first of next week are typically all over the place (as usual). I know that it's so dry it will take a whallop from a storm to start to chip into the dryness. On the farm, it takes more hay for the cattle and the pond ice is so thick I can drive out on the ice without breaking through. We're burning a lot of wood for heating the houses but I built up the wood pile big before the cold snap began. Now, I think 25 degrees would be warm.
Jan. 6, quick update.
I've been snowed by Dr. appts. and other requirements in Salina. Need to talk about future weather for a second. Finally, an upper low comes through the southwest US. and maintains it's strength. Most models track this low right over Kansas (which isn't a big precip maker for us) but the trend is for a slightly more southern track, (a big snow maker for us). The event is still supposed to hit Wed. night/Thurs. Plenty of time to change tracks. The intensity of this storm is pretty sure. Just where it tracks can and will change some. For sure we'll get wind from this storm. Big wind! We can get thunderstorms to clear weather to a blizzard depending on the storm track. Keep tuned to the weather next week.
January 9, a storm to move through.
We've had glorious weather Monday, today and tomorrow. High temps are in the 50s to 60s. That changes Thursday with falling temps. all day. Dangerous wind chills and very low actual temps. go clear through at least mid week next week. As for precip., the models de amplify the low pressure circulation to just a wave as it passes over Kansas. Models vary as to where the most precip falls. I think the best chance for accumulation of rain and snow still stays along and north of I-70. Other waves pass over Kansas with light accumulations this weekend and early next week. At least we are getting "some" moisture. This is probably due to the MJO I've talked about. It is very robust and is fighting with the La- Nina base state. With out La-Nina we would get more generous precip from the MJO I think but we'll take what we can get. As for other things, My recent blood test has raised my "Meld" score upward where I will be back on the call list for a new liver. I just need to Meld higher to have a better recipient chance. Due to this, my Salina Dr. does not want to try a more active drug control for my Kron's disease that I've been battling. We've been working the Drs. treating Grandma and Thursday she goes to the hospital for more inclusive tests. Tomorrow we turn in our farm records for tax purposes. So, most of my time is spent in Salina doing required things. This wont end until next week unless other things turn up. Remember. Be prepared for dangerous wind chills and cold temps Thursday through the next week. We'll have to see how strong our Wed night storm stays to get a real handle on precipitation totals.
Jan. 13, cold, a little snow.
We had around 2" of snow with lots of wind last Thursday. Highs and lows continue below freezing until tomorrow (Sunday) when we get a quick warm up. Then, It's back to fridged temps. till Thursday. A couple of opportunities for light snow will be on the platter between now and Thursday. Of more interest is a (major?) storm system shown for the first time today on the American model for next weekend. As usual, models look wild a week out, then tend to moderate greatly before day seven arrives. Anyway, the first look for Kansas, seven days out, shows a precip. bulls eye over central Kansas. Also, the Dodge City forecaster gave some lip service to this potential storm today. I'll keep watching all of this and see what changes come about as next weekend approaches.
I've been snowed the last few days. Sunday, Grandma tripped in church and cracked her pelvis. Today, we heard from her Dr. no surgery was required but a lengthy stay in the hospital/rehab before she can live at home. At the same time, Liz caught the influenza bug and was down during the same time. So, I'm doing double duty somewhat for two right now.
Jan 19, a quick word about the weather.
Seems like the storm moving in is looking a little bit stronger. Forecasters are a little unsure how much snow will fall due to temps. That MIGHT mean more rain/drizzle on the south end. About the last 3 storm systems to move through Kansas have traveled right through the center of the state. To get good rains/snow for central Kansas, one needs the low center to travel east to west through northern Oklahoma. In the spring time, you can get isolated heavy rains here when the upper low is in Nebraska but the jackpot storm is the north Ok. storm. Models tonight show another storm traversing Kansas in a week so keep hoping for a more southern track. PS. A storm can be too far south also (northern Texas southern OK.) and miss us for precip. For now, with the current storm, people living close and north of highway 24 have the best chance for meaningful precip. although models show a dip in the precip through Concordia almost down to Salina. We'll see how this plays out.